BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Northern Arizona
Class: 1 Class Rank: 124 Conference: Big Sky Record: (14-5) Overall: (20-12) Overall Strength = 42.64
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Away L 47.20 68 69 1 102 ( 8- 20) Arizona St 3.89 -4.89
2 11-10-2022 Away L 8.11 56 113 1 24 ( 21- 9) Arizona -35.20 -21.80
3 11-13-2022 Home W 63.90 87 54 1 232 ( 13- 17) UC San Diego 20.59 12.41
4 11-16-2022 Away W 49.79 110 104 2 1 136 ( 17- 12) Cal Baptist 6.48 -0.48
5 11-20-2022 Home W 64.18 111 44 ZZ 104 ( 0- 2) Park-Gilbert 20.87 * 46.13
6 11-24-2022 Neutral L 49.25 73 82 1 36 ( 21- 12) Arkansas 5.94 -14.94
7 11-25-2022 Neutral L 40.28 80 93 1 63 ( 16- 15) Kansas St -3.03 -9.97
8 11-26-2022 Neutral L 36.43 62 80 1 62 ( 17- 15) Clemson -6.88 -11.12
9 12-03-2022 Home W 49.36 76 65 1 139 ( 20- 9) Southern Utah 6.05 4.95
10 12-08-2022 Away L 32.21 63 68 1 216 ( 10- 22) Fresno St -11.10 6.10
11 12-10-2022 Away W 37.91 79 76 1 1 242 ( 10- 17) Cal Poly -5.40 8.40
12 12-19-2022 Away W 43.62 83 81 1 152 ( 16- 13) UC Davis 0.31 1.69
13 12-21-2022 Away L 36.35 73 93 1 64 ( 28- 2) UNLV -6.96 -13.04
14 12-29-2022 Home L * 27.34 64 69 1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St -15.97 10.97
15 12-31-2022 Home W * 37.27 82 68 1 301 ( 6- 25) Weber St -6.04 20.04
16 01-05-2023 Away W * 44.48 76 74 1 144 ( 13- 15) Montana 1.17 0.83
17 01-07-2023 Away W * 50.13 85 80 1 122 ( 20- 11) Montana St 6.82 -1.82
18 01-12-2023 Home L * 19.11 66 78 1 225 ( 15- 15) Portland St -24.20 12.20
19 01-14-2023 Home W * 53.86 77 67 1 98 ( 22- 7) CS Sacramento 10.55 -0.55
20 01-19-2023 Away W * 62.16 90 67 1 196 ( 13- 16) Idaho 18.85 4.15
21 01-21-2023 Away L * 37.55 89 96 1 1 129 ( 18- 10) E Washington -5.76 -1.24
22 01-28-2023 Away W * 39.07 62 59 1 1 231 ( 13- 18) N Colorado -4.24 7.24
23 02-02-2023 Home W * 69.00 79 50 1 122 ( 20- 11) Montana St 25.69 3.31
24 02-04-2023 Home L * 33.36 76 80 1 1 144 ( 13- 15) Montana -9.95 5.95
25 02-06-2023 Away W * 47.46 64 54 1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St 4.15 5.85
26 02-09-2023 Away W * 50.98 84 82 1 1 98 ( 22- 7) CS Sacramento 7.67 -5.67
27 02-11-2023 Away L * 31.23 55 60 1 225 ( 15- 15) Portland St -12.08 7.08
28 02-16-2023 Home W * 45.43 61 55 1 129 ( 18- 10) E Washington 2.12 3.88
29 02-18-2023 Home W * 43.04 87 78 1 196 ( 13- 16) Idaho -0.27 9.27
30 02-25-2023 Home W * 48.95 66 48 1 231 ( 13- 18) N Colorado 5.64 12.36
31 02-27-2023 Away W * 37.39 66 57 1 301 ( 6- 25) Weber St -5.92 14.92
32 03-05-2023 Neutral W * 49.51 64 48 1 231 ( 13- 18) N Colorado 6.20 9.80
Averages 43.31 75.4 71.6
Best game: 69.00 = 29 point win over Montana St
Worst game: 8.11 = 57 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev: 12.72